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Hi ZS, assuming that whether or even otherwise one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Useful and obviously the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that is what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 out of 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.

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